241500Z POSITION NEAR 23.5S 81.6E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (ANNABELLE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1050 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 25 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BEGUN TO UNRAVEL AND HAS BECOME FULLY EXPOSED AS THE MAIN CONVECTION IS SIGNIFICANTLY SHEARED SOUTHEASTWARD. THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON THE ABOVE ANIMATION WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM PGTW AND KNES. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM HAS DRIFTED INTO AN AREA OF STRONG (GREATER THAN 50 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COLD SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (LESS THAN 26 DEGREES CELSIUS). IN VIEW OF THESE, TC 03S IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ERODE AND DISSIPATE BY TAU 12. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z IS 12 FEET.
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